Key findings

Brisbane - South is forecast to account for 7% of the total population growth of Queensland between 2021 and 2046. 

The region is expected to add over 140,000 residents along with over 50,000 dwellings in the 25 years to 2046. The growth is projected to be absorbed primarily by the Woolloongabba SA2, with strong growth also seen in Upper Mount Gravatt, Rochedale - Burbank, and Pallara - Willawong SA2s. The Woolloongabba SA2 is predicted to almost quadruple its 2021 census population, to reach almost 34,000 residents by 2046, driven to a great extent by the PDA in the area, along with high density zoning spread across the suburb that is being rapidly taken up through development applications and recent builds. It is predicted to continue drawing in young adults, as is likely to be the case with Upper Mount Gravatt. Rochedale and Pallara on the other hand, are more family-oriented suburbs, providing opportunities for both first home buyers and young families upsizing the family home.

While no SA2 is predicted to experience population decline over the forecast period, several are expected to stagnate in their ERP: Mansfield, Wishart, Moorooka, Salisbury - Nathan, and Kuraby SA2s are the main examples. This is attributable to the present zoning, which does not support scaling of residential capacity, and no present plans for upzoning. While some of these adjoin critical bushland and may be unsuitable for residential upzoning, others hold upzoning potential but are perhaps less desirable for development and will start being utilised only once currently developing suburbs are used up.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Queensland?

We set the context for our local area forecasts with a presentation of our state- and regional-level forecasts for Queensland.

Access the presentation slides (including our forecast data for each region), and a short recap or the full webinar presentation on-demand. Learn what's driving change and how much growth will go to each region of the state over the 25 years to 2046.

The population forecast for Queensland →

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Brisbane - South Region

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

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