About the North Sydney region

The Northern Sydney region compromises of 3 SA4s that being: Sydney – Northern Beaches, Sydney – Ryde, and Sydney – North Sydney & Hornsby. This region is forecast to provide around 9% of New South Wales’ population growth between 2021 and 2046.

The Northern Beaches SA4 contains urban centres such as Mona Vale, Dee Why and Manly. Areas such as Brookvale are employment hubs within the SA4. Furthermore, this SA4 contains a health precinct within Frenchs Forest, with the upcoming addition of a residential precinct to support the established hospital.

The Sydney-Ryde SA4 contains the entirety of the City of Ryde, Hunter’s Hill Council and a portion of both City of Parramatta and Hornsby Shire Council. Within this SA4, there are a variety of urban centres such as Ryde, Epping and Eastwood.

Key findings

Northern Beaches

Over the forecast period, the Northern Beaches SA4 will grow from 264,481 people in 2021 to 303,195 people in 2046. This is a 14% increase over the forecast period. The foundation of this growth stems from major precinct plans such as the Frenchs Forest Hospital Precinct and housing densification within key centres such as Mona Vale, Manly Vale, Dee Why and Brookvale.

Frenchs Forest – Oxford Falls SA2 encompasses most of the growth within this SA4. This is seen in the increase of people in the forecast period, starting at 17,198 in 2021 and finishing with 34,806 people in 2046. This is an 102% increase within the forecast period mainly stemming from the Frenchs Forest Precinct Plan to establish a high-density residential precinct near the hospital. The Precinct Plan is expected to commence development within the forecast period which greatly attributes to the massive growth in population for this SA2.

Mona Vale, Manly Vale & Dee Why SA2s are also subject to the Northern Beaches Council Housing Strategy. These urban centres are designated for medium density housing to increase overall SA4 capacity through intensification and diversification of housing stock.

Lastly, Freshwater – Brookvale SA2 is subject to Brookvale Structure Plan which commences during the forecast period.

Sydney-Ryde 

Throughout the forecast period, Sydney-Ryde SA4’s Estimated Residential Population is expected to grow from 202,922 in 2021 to 291,429 in 2046. Over the period, it is an increase of 43%. This growth stems the rezoning plans based on Transport Oriented Development (TOD) at Macquarie Park and the revitalisation and residential intensification along urban centres within Ryde, Epping and Eastwood.

Macquarie Park – Marsfield is a key SA2 in which a significant portion of growth takes place. Subject to the accelerated rezoning from the TOD program, which lends to the development of the Macquarie Park Innovation Precinct Place Strategy. This is expected to commence in the forecast period and provide a variety of high-density development within the precinct.

The Eastwood SA2 is expected to grow as well within the forecast period, stemming from the Eastwood Master Plan to help revitalise the area, especially the opportunity near the train line.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in New South Wales?

Read our forecast results and analysis for New South Wales on the resources page. Watch the webinar recap or see a summary slide pack to learn what's driving growth in Australia, and each region of the state.

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Northern Beaches SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

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