The population and housing forecast for the Parramatta region

SA4s in region:

  • Parramatta
Published: April 2024
Version: 5.1.1

Read forecast analysis and insights for the Parramatta region from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

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Read the insights and analysis behind our population and dwellings forecasts for the Parramatta region.

About the Parramatta region

The Parramatta region comprises a single SA4, Parramatta. This region is forecast to provide 9% of New South Wales' population growth between 2021 and 2046.

The Parramatta SA4 contains the key urban centre of Parramatta, as well as the urban regeneration projects at Wentworth Point, Sydney Olympic Park and Camellia. The region will also contain three stations of the new Sydney Metro train project (Sydney Olympic Park, Parramatta and Westmead).

The Parramatta SA4 additionally contains the urban centres of Auburn, Granville and Westmead, as well as significant industrial precincts at Silverwater/ Rose Hill, Yennora and Smithfield, and the health and education precinct at Westmead. 

Key findings

Parramatta

Over the forecast period, the Parramatta SA4 is set to grow from 466,000 people in 2021 to around 752,000 in 2046, a growth of 61% in the period. Growth in the SA4 is dominated by regeneration projects around Sydney Olympic Park (including Wentworth Point, Ermington - Rydalmere) and the redevelopment of the Parramatta CBD and surrounds, with less growth forecast in the Cumberland LGA portion of the SA4.

Wentworth Point - Sydney Olympic Park SA2 contains significant brownfield growth that has already commenced in three separate precincts (Wentworth Point, Sydney Olympic Park and the Carter Street Precinct). The nearby SA2 of Ermington - Rydalmere also has two significant brownfield redevelopment precincts that are either just commencing, or expected to commence in the forecast period (Melrose Park and the UWS, ADHC and former Macquarie Boys High School sites). The growth in these two SA2s is expected to be over 42,000, or just under 10% of the SA4 growth. 

The Camellia Precinct is also expected to commence developing in the forecast period, with an the population of the SA2 (Rosehill - Harris Park) more than doubling from 9,120 to over 22, 500.

The Parramatta CBD (Parramatta - North CBD) and the surrounding areas (North Parramatta, Westmead) will continue to see further development, with high density housing in the centre taking advantage of the metro rail developments. 

At the other end of the scale, the non residential areas of the SA4 (Rockwood Cemetery, Smithfield and Yennora Industrial SA2s) will remain with minimal populations, and the established areas of Greystanes - South and Pemulwuy - Greystanes (North) growing more slowly.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in New South Wales?

Read our forecast results and analysis for New South Wales on the resources page. Watch the webinar recap or see a summary slide pack to learn what's driving growth in Australia, and each region of the state.

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Parramatta SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

  2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046
Forecast Population 496.672 546,630 598,389 647,984 699,230 752, 142
Change (five year) - 49,958 51,759 49,595 51,246 52,912
Average Annual Change (%) - 1.94% 1.83% 1.61% 1.53% 1.47%
Forecast Dwellings 171,806 187,642 207,747 249,416 272,209 272,209
Change (five year) - 15,836 20,104 20,146 21,523 22,793
Average Annual Change (%) - 1.78% 2.06% 1.87% 1.82% 1.76%

 

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Commentary and analysis from our specialist forecasters.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Principal forecaster
Liza Ivanova

Liza Ivanova

Population forecaster
Richard Thornton

Richard Thornton

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Chris Jones

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Oliver Bowering

Oliver Bowering

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john-o

John O'Leary

Forecast modelling