About the Riverina region

The Riverina SA4 encompasses the Riverina agricultural region of south-western New South Wales. The Riverina is known for being one of the most productive and agriculturally diverse regions in Australia. 

Ten Council areas are wholly contained within the SA4, with a further five Council areas partly included. Of these the largest in terms of population are Griffith, Wagga Wagga and Leeton. 

Key findings

Growth in the Riverina SA4 is centred around key population centres, with rural areas remaining relatively unchanged in population numbers but experiencing an ageing of the community.

Over the forecast period, the Riverina SA4 is set to grow by 22,000 persons between 2021 and 2041, from a population of approximately 164,000 to 186,000. This represents an annual average growth of 0f 0.5% over the period. The majority of this growth occurs within the major population centres of Wagga Wagga and Griffith. 

Wagga Wagga LGA area accounts for 46% (75,000 persons) of the total population of the Riverina SA4. As one of the largest inland regional cities within NSW, with a large commercial business centre and home to Defence Force training bases and Charles Sturt University, the city is projected to grow by 15, 518 by 2046, representing 49% of the total Riverina population (or an average growth of 0.75%). The SA2 in Wagga Wagga that is the most populous is Wagga Wagga South with a total population of 22,300 in 2021, growing by 3,200 to a total of 25,900 persons. However, the area with the greatest growth in the Riverina over the period is Wagga Wagga Surrounds (an average annual growth rate of 1.40%), which will contribute 25,261 persons to the total Riverina population by 2046. This area has a significant supply of greenfield land, which will provide residential development opportunities over the period.   

Griffith is projected to grow by a total of approximately 4,600 persons over the forecast period, from 33,600 to 38,200, representing a total average annual growth rate of 0f 0.5%. The vast majority of this is within the urban boundary of Griffith, with only an increase over the period of 400 people occurring in the rest of Griffith City.

The remaining areas of the SA4 contribute 1,896 persons to the overall population of the SA4, experiencing relatively little growth over the period, with many areas being fairly stable. The more rural areas of the SA4 are forecast to experience an ageing of the population over the period. This is mainly because younger adults and school leavers are more likely to leave, attracted to Sydney or Melbourne, or alternatively into larger regional centres (such as Wagga Wagga). 

What share of Australia's growth will occur in the Western Australian Outback?

Read our forecast results and analysis for Western Australia to learn more about how the different drivers of population change affect the distribution of growth throughout the state.

Forecast results

The following forecast information is for the entire Riverina SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

1 national forecasting program.

6 ways to explore.

How to access our detailed forecasts

forecast.id provides detailed forecasts of population, housing and future development for local areas across Australia. 

✓ Detailed forecasts for local areas

✓ Custom catchments

✓ National coverage

Learn more about forecast.id and see access options here → 

Commentary and analysis from our specialist forecasters.

Meet the full team behind the National Forecasting Program →