Queensland - Townsville SA4 region

Townsville SA4 is forecast to grow from 237,452 to 300,834 by 2046, an increase of 63,382 people throughout the forecast period. The region's population and dwelling growth is dominated by two SA2s, Burdell - Mount Low SA2 and Bohle Plains SA2, which are forecast to experience significant growth relative to each place.

Version 5.1.1 Published 11th July 2023

2023 Population forecast data for the Townsville SA4 is now available

Purchase a one-off forecast report for a custom catchment or contact our team for a quote to access the complete dataset.



Insights behind our population and dwellings forecasts for Townsville SA4

Key Findings

The population of Townsville SA4 in 2021 was 237,452. Forecast to grow by 63,382, the population is set to reach 300,834 persons by 2046, accounting for 3.1% of Queensland's population growth over the forecast period.

  • The number of dwellings in Townsville SA4 is forecast to grow from 103,967 in 2021 to 132,352 in 2046, an additional 28,385 dwellings.
  • Burdell - Mount Low SA2 (17,282 persons), and Bohle Plains SA2 (12,313 persons) are forecast to contribute the largest share of population growth combined, accounting for 46.7% of Townsville SA4's total population growth to 2046, or 27.3% and 19.4% respectively.
  • The majority of the region's dwelling growth is attributed also to Burdell - Mount Low SA2 (6,381 dwellings) and Bohle Plains SA2 (4,668 dwellings) with a combined contribution of 38.9% or 22.5% and 16.4% respectively.
  • two SA2s of are forecast to decline in population over the forecast period, with the largest decline forecast in Annandale SA2

Read on below for charts, maps and tables sharing the forecast results at SA2 geography. 


Geography and the role and function of place

Located in North Queensland, the Townsville SA4 region is made up of 33 SA2s and is situated about 1350km from Brisbane CBD. Characterised by its tropical climate and proximity to the great barrier reef, Townsville is becoming an increasingly popular long-term destination for migrants due to its expanding job market.

At the furthest northern point of the region is Ingham, a significant population centre directly west of Palm Island. Directly in the centre of the region is Charters Towers, a historic gold mining town forecast to contribute 1% of the region's population growth to 2046. The majority of the population lies northeast of Charters Towers along the coast. Nearly 100km south of the Townsville CBD is the Burdekin Shire, one of Australia's richest agricultural regions, serviced predominately by Ayr, a medium sized town forecast to experience close to 1,200 new persons in the 25-year forecast period to 2046. The major population centre of the region is Townsville, with surrounding suburbs Burdell, Mount Low and Bohle Plains forecast to experience the largest proportion of growth throughout the forecast period.

In terms of transport, the region benefits from a passenger bus service which connects a large proportion Townsville's population, however, other major population centres within the region rely on private transportation. 


Townsville SA4 Forecast Results




National and State population forecast

A new census cycle means new 2021 ‘Tops-Down’ national to state to SA4 forecasts based on up-to-date macro-level population and economic assumptions. For more information on our ‘Tops-Down’ forecast assumptions and results, read our National and State Population Forecast Review.

SAFi Review

Commentary and analysis from our specialist team of population forecasters.

Meet the full team →

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Population forecasting lead
Darren Thomas

Darren Thomas

Land Supply Lead

John O'Leary

Forecast modelling

Ben Saines

Land use research

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Public resources for local areas

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Your questions answered

Do you have a question about our forecasts, our assumptions or about the Townsville SA4 Region? You can submit a question to our team by emailing locationdecisions@id.com.au

Request a copy of our forecast data for the Townsville SA4 Region.