About the North East- Goulburn Valley region

The Hume Region

The Hume region (SA4) is made up of ten distinct Local Government areas in addition to the six Victorian Alpine Resorts, which are managed independently by Alpine Resorts Victoria. The Local Government areas included are:

Alpine Shire, Benalla Rural City, Indigo Shire, Mansfield Shire, part of Mitchell Shire, Murrindindi Shire, Strathbogie Shire, Towong Shire, Wangaratta Rural City, Wodonga City, and a portion of Yarra Ranges Shire.

Hume has a varied industry and employment makeup, with a strong concentration of agriculture in the west. It also has a strong tourism industry across the Alpine region and the Milawa food and wine region. The Hume transport corridor traverses the region linking supply chains to national and international markets through Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and Canberra. Additionally, Hume is home to the key regional centres of Kilmore, Seymour, Wangaratta, and Wodonga, all of which are expected to undergo some population growth over the forecast period.

Shepparton Region (SA4)

The Shepparton region is made up of three Local Government areas. The Local Government areas included are:

Campaspe Shire, Greater Shepparton City and Moira Shire.

The Shepparton region has a varied industry and employment makeup, with a strong concentration on agriculture and food processing. It also has a strong tourism industry centred around Echuca. The Goulburn Valley transport corridor traverses the region linking supply chains to national and international markets through Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and Canberra. Additionally, Hume is home to the key regional centres of Shepparton, Echuca, Cobram and Kyabram

Key findings

Hume region

Over the forecast period, Hume will grow by 46,000 people, from 184,000 in 2021 to 230,000 people in 2046. This represents an annual growth rate of 0.9% over the forecast period. Much of this growth will occur in the larger growth centres of Wodonga, Wangaratta and Kilmore. 

The largest area of growth will be in the Baranduda - Leneva SA2 area, Baranduda is Wodonga's growth area, and is expected to grow by about 13,000 people approximately doubling its population to about 26,000 by 2046, at an annual growth rate of 2.9%. This is by far the largest growth area within the region, with Kilmore being the second largest area of population growth, growing by approximately 9,000 persons by 2046, an average annual growth rate of 1.83%, resulting in a total population of 24,000. The rate of population growth for the rest of the Hume region drops sharply, with Wangaratta and Mansfield having the next largest growth of 3,500 and 3,000 respectively.

Many areas remain relatively stable over the period, with Beechworth, Euroa, Myrtleford, Rutherglen, Towong and Yackandandah having very low levels of growth of less than a 1,000 people over the period. 

Shepparton region

The City of Shepparton is the largest recipient of this growth. The city consists of 3 SA2s, which collectively had a population of 45,500 in 2021. This is expected to grow by 10,000 to approximately 55,500 by 2041 (at an annual average growth rate of 0.83%). Within Shepparton, the largest area of growth will be in the Kialla SA2 area, which is Shepparton's growth area, that is expected to grow by about 5,000 people to a total of 14,000 by 2046 (an annual average growth rate of 1.83%). Outside of Shepparton the SA2s of Yarrawonga and Echuca (growing by 3,000 and 2,000 respectively). 

Many SA2 areas remain relatively stable over the period, with Rochester, Rushworth, Moira and Numurkah having small changes in population over the period.

What share of Australia's growth will occur in Victoria?

Read our forecast results and analysis for Victoria on the resources page. Watch the webinar recap or see a summary slide pack to learn what's driving growth in Australia, and each region of the state.

Forecast results - Hume

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Hume SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

Forecast results

The following forecast information presents the combined numbers for the Shepparton SA4.

Learn more about the different options to access these forecasts for Local Government Areas (LGAs), suburbs, custom catchments or the entire state or nation here.

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