National Forecasting Program
Population and dwelling forecasts
As a subscriber to our National Forecasting Program you have access to new and future forecasts, insights and updates for the 51 priority areas on our forecasting roadmap. This page outlines what's included in the program, what makes our forecasts different, the forecast outputs, the places we forecast, where we're up to our roadmap, and an introduction to the team who will be supporting you.
Why we're different
Traditionally, population forecasts are published in a big bang: infrequently and for entire jurisdictions. As this model is slow to respond to significant new information, these forecasts become quickly outdated, and decision-makers have to come up with caveats and interpretations of the forecast data, clouding the insights on offer and reducing confidence in decision-making.
We take a different approach. By forecasting a region-at-a-time, we focus on the fastest-changing parts of Australia and regularly release new forecasts and updates to existing ones. This means we can respond quickly to significant new information, providing decision-makers with an up-to-date and detailed analysis of how significant changes in government policy, planned development or black-swan events like the global pandemic are likely to impact their planning and strategy.
Here are a few of the reasons our forecasts are trusted by Australia's largest organisations to mitigate risk and inform significant planning and investment decisions.
A consistent source
We use a consistent, independent methology for all parts of Australia, giving you a reliable evidence base that is comparable across jurisdictions.
Flexible forecasts for custom catchments
Our forecasts are produced for micro-geographic areas that can be aggregated to create forecasts for custom catchments.
Demand-adjusted development forecasts
We comprehensively research planned development and forecast the location, timing and sequence of sites to come online by assessing the demand from the forecast population.
Have your say on our roadmap
We go where our clients are making decisions. As a subscriber, you can provide input to the next locations on our roadmap.
Small Area Forecast information (SAFi) is our own custom SA1-derived geography that provides greater detail in future growth areas.
SA1s are designed to maximise the geographic detail available for Census of Population and Housing data.
SA2s represent a community that interacts together socially and economically.
SA4s are the discreet regions for which we forecast population at the sub-state level.
We produce our forecasts a region-at-a-time. So where are we going next?
Our National Forecasting Program is focused on 51 priority regions (SA4s) across Australia that cover the majority of the addressable market for most Australian businesses. By forecasting a region-at-a-time, we can more regularly deliver insights to our subscribers, respond to significant new information and stay up-to-date by focusing on the fastest-changing parts of Australia.
You can register to be notified when forecasts are available in an area of interest to you here.