Brisbane South is forecast to grow by 81,000 persons by 2041 

Australia’s population is set to grow by 5.7 million persons by 2041. Of this growth 23% is expected within Queensland, with the bulk of this growth occurring in South-East Queensland. 

Of this growth, Brisbane South is expected to grow by 81,000 persons by 2041. This is considerable growth, considering in the previous 20 year period, the region grew by 109,000 persons, primarily through greenfield development. 

Looking forward Brisbane South will continue to make housing available through greenfield growth and higher density living in favourable suburbs.   

To hear about more of our Queensland forecast and the top-level stories watch our Queensland after Covid webinar on demand here.

Three SA2s account for 41% of the region's growth, with a mixture of inner city apartment growth and outer suburban greenfield growth.

Below we share the change in population by SA2 for Brisbane South, as well as the share of forecast growth for the area. We also present a map of the forecast population at 5-year intervals from 2016 to 2021.

What we notice about Brisbane South is that growth is not ubiquitous across the region.  Three of SA2's account for 41% of the region’s growth, with a mixture of inner city apartment growth in Woolloongabba SA2 and fringe greenfield growth in Pallara – Willawong, Rochedale – Burbank. 

15 SA2's have minimal growth over the forecast period each with less than a 1% share of growth, which is less than 1,000 persons in the forecast period. 

At the end of the forecast period (2041), Calamvale – Stretton will have the largest population of the SA2s in the region with 27,000 persons.  The area has remnant residential supply, which is being developed generally on a site by site basis. 

Development Hotspots

Over the forecast period, Brisbane South is forecast to grow from 145,000 dwellings in 2021 to 180,000 dwellings by 2041. This is an additional 35,000 dwellings. 

Whilst reviewing housing supply our team identified capacity for 77,000 new dwellings, of which half is used. Should population demand increase there is available supply to bring forward.  

In the previous 5 years (2016 to 21), Pallara – Willawong SA2 had the most dwelling growth with an additional 1707 dwellings, closely followed by Rochedale – Burbank SA2 (1415 dwellings) and Woolloongabba SA2 (1320 dwellings). In the forecast period (2021 to 41) these areas continue to flourish with 4,377,  4,738, and 3,532 dwellings respectively. 

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