Key findings
Sydney Eastern Suburbs
Over the forecast period the Sydney Eastern suburbs SA4 population will grow modestly from around 263,000 in 2021 to around 299,000 people in 2046 (an increase of 13% or 35,500 on the 2021 population). This represents an average annual growth rate of 0.5%.
Growth is predominantly focused around the Randwick LGA, particularly along ANZAC parade, and around the University and Hospital precincts. Population growth around the Bondi Junction area is expected to slow, as the major developments that have recently occurred in that precinct come to their conclusion.
Little growth is expected in the Woollahra LGA area, due to topography and the nature of the land holding patterns, and other than Bondi Junction, similarly, little growth is expected in the Waverly Council area.
Sydney - City and Inner South
The Sydney City and Inner South SA4 covers the City of Sydney and parts of the LGAs of Bayside and Inner West. It contains some of the most significant commercial (Sydney CBD) and industrial centres (Port of Botany and Sydney Airport) in Australia.
The population is expected to grow from 335, 429 people in 2021 to 445, 588 in 2046 (110,159 or 33% increase at an average annual rate of 1.14%)
A feature of this SA4 us the relatively high share of population that is classified as people in non-private dwellings (~3%), principally representing the large number of students that live in the area.
Growth is expected to be concentrated in and around the CBD, as well as specific growth precincts in the Waterloo and Zetland SA2's. Significant potential for development lies in the commercial areas of Erskineville - Alexandria, however as no plans have been identified to date, we have not forecast additional housing in this area.
Conversely, little development is expected in the Bayside or Inner West LGA portions of the SA4, other than the Pagewood development in Eastgardens. Large swathes of the SA4 will have no growth being reserved for public purposes (parks, wetlands and Universities) or special facilities (Port, Airport).
Sydney - Inner South West
Our latest analysis of these regions will be published soon. Register here to be notified when new forecasts and analysis are available for this and other areas.
Sydney - Inner West
The Sydney - Inner West SA4 covers the remaining portion of Inner West LGA, the entirety of Burwood and Canada Bay LGAs, most of the Strathfield LGA, and a portion of Canterbury - Bankstown LGA. This SA4 contains established suburbs like Balmain, Haberfield, Drummoyne, Enfield, and Strathfield, but has growing areas of brownfield regeneration like Homebush and Rhodes.
There is significant growth projected for the SA4, growing from 306,292 people in 2021 to 382,618 by 2046 - a growth of almost 25%.
This growth is fueled by upzoning and densification strategies put forward by the NSW government, including the Metro West line, the Parramatta Road Strategy, and the newly announced TOD precincts. This sees SA2s with one or more of these projects being the proponents for growth, most of this being high-density apartment dwellings. The SA2s with the highest growth in ERP are Concord West - North Strathfield (85.75% growth), Rhodes (73.59% growth), Burwood (78.54% growth), and Homebush (42.64% growth).
The growth in the above areas is offset by slowing or stagnating growth in some of the more established areas, particularly those in the Inner West LGA and parts of the Strathfield LGA. These areas tend to have stricter zoning and planning policies outside of their activity centres and therefore see minimal growth in their dwelling stock - when paired with a lowering average household size this can see a decline in population (e.g., Balmain SA2 declining by 2.5%).
Sydney - Sutherland
Our latest analysis of these regions will be published soon. Register here to be notified when new forecasts and analysis are available for this and other areas.
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